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Finance&Economics: Q&A: Cyprus deal

Publicado por Graham Low | 4:21



Q&A: Cyprus deal


BBC

Cyprus has agreed a deal with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to secure a 10bn euro bailout. It came just hours before a deadline set by the European Central Bank (ECB), and after a week of uncertainty about the future of Cyprus in the eurozone.
What has been agreed?
Cyprus has agreed to a significant restructuring of its banking sector, along with other measures such as tax rises and privatisations.
The measures are designed to raise billions towards the bailout, but protect bank customers with deposits of less than 100,000 euros.
Cyprus's second largest bank - the troubled Laiki Bank - will be closed down and deposits above 100,000 euros moved into a "bad bank".
It is likely that customers will lose a significant amount of these deposits, though it is not clear how much.
Deposits of less than 100,000 euros will be moved into Bank of Cyprus, the country's biggest bank, which is being significantly restructured.
Deposits at Bank of Cyprus of more than 100,000 euros are being frozen and are also at risk of being raided as part of the restructuring.
The deal means that depositors with more than 100,000 euros in these banks are likely to see significant losses once the restructuring is complete.
What about the bank levy?
In the original EU-IMF deal agreed a week ago, all customers of Cypriot banks were to face a one-off tax on their deposits, starting at 6.75% for the smallest deposits.
That was designed to raise 5.8bn euros towards the cost of the bailout. But it proved hugely unpopular with the Cypriot public and was voted down by Cyprus's parliament.
There is no bank levy in the new deal, but the bank restructuring measures mean deposits over 100,000 euros will effectively be used to pay the bulk of the 5.8bn-euro bill.
The measures cannot be voted down by Cyprus's parliament, as new bank restructuring laws were agreed and voted through by parliament last week.
Was Cyprus not doing quite well before the global financial crisis?
Yes. The IMF described the country's economic performance before 2008 as a "long period of high growth, low unemployment, and sound public finances".
There was a recession in 2009 but it was the mildest in the eurozone. However, two interlinking factors have brought Cyprus close to default - the deteriorating government finances and the country's struggling banks.
So what went wrong?
During the good years Cyprus built up what the IMF calls "vulnerabilities". There was rapid growth in credit, the banks made many loans to Greece and there was a property market boom.
The banks are central to this story. They grew rapidly. By 2011, the IMF reported that their assets - which include all the loans they have made - were equivalent to 835% of annual national income, or GDP. A chunk of that is down to foreign-owned banks, but those that are Cypriot had made loans to Greek borrowers worth 160% of Cypriot GDP.
There have been losses on the loans to private borrowers because of the depression that has hit the Greek economy. And the value of the debts owed by the Greek government was cut in a debt relief exercise undertaken last year. It might have helped Greece, but the Cypriot banks were hit.
What does that mean for the government finances?
Many countries have rescued their banks in the financial crisis - recapitalising them, in the jargon. It means governments put in money and get shares in return. It is controversial, but governments have taken the view that it is better for the economy than allowing important banks to fail. However, Cyprus cannot afford the recapitalisation to the extent that the banks need.
The government finances have been further weakened by the slow economic growth and, more recently, decline in the eurozone which have hit Cyprus too. Growing doubts in the financial markets about the government's financial position have made it almost impossible for Cyprus to borrow.
Why was the bank levy considered?
When countries get an international bailout, they are often expected to raise funds themselves, by raising taxes or selling state-owned assets.
The levy on bank deposits was designed to play the same role. It was intended to reduce the size of the bailout and therefore the amount of new debt Cyprus had to take on. But there is almost certainly a political aspect, too. In the eurozone, there are concerns about money-laundering in Cyprus and the presence of large amounts of Russian-owned money in the banks. Germany is reputed to be especially unhappy about the idea of using European taxpayers' money to rescue them.
Experts say the decision to target ordinary savers came about because Cypriot banks have fewer private bondholders than banks in other eurozone countries. In the Greek bailout, it was private bondholders who had to take a "haircut" - a slice out of their investment.
After the deal provoked outrage in Cyprus, the parliament promptly voted against it, and it is increasingly seen as a blunder by European and Cypriot authorities.

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